Cincinnati vs South Florida 10/22/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Cincinnati winning 42% of simulations, and South Florida 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Cincinnati commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. South Florida wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Isaiah Pead is averaging 92 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Darrell Scott is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA -3 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

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